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Saturday, 4 May 2013

Two Solar Flares, mega Gamma Bursts, and Coronal Hole stream..... could be an interesting weekend, lol!

NOTE: NOAA update is 55% chance of MClass and 10% chance of X Class flares as of this morning.  As SuspiciousObservers states (video below) the Flares are just part of the space weather that is currently active.  We have a rather large coronal hole directly earth facing and spitting out all sorts of stuff our way- should reach us in two days time- and several HUGE gamma bursts coming in- including the largest one ever measured!

.... next few days could be very interesting :>D

http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2013/05/03/two-m-class-solar-flares-in-a-row-m1-3-followed-by-strong-m5-7-flare/

Two M-class solar flares in a row – M1.3 followed by strong M5.7

A long duration, moderate, solar flare reaching M1.3 peaked at 16:53 UTC on May 3,  2013.  The source of the event was Region 1731 still classified as Beta-Gamma-Delta and capable of more strong eruptions. This region has rotated out of the Sun’s central disk area toward western limb. Before that event ended an impulsive and strong M5.7 solar flare erupted and peaked at 17:32 UTC. The source is probably old Region 1719  located on the Sun’s eastern limb. A Type II radio emission was associated with the event which typically indicates Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) . If CME was generated it should not be Earth directed. NOAA SWPC forecasters...
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A long duration, moderate, solar flare reaching M1.3 peaked at 16:53 UTC on May 3,  2013.  The source of the event was Region 1731 still classified as Beta-Gamma-Delta and capable of more strong eruptions. This region has rotated out of the Sun’s central disk area toward western limb.
Before that event ended an impulsive and strong M5.7 solar flare erupted and peaked at 17:32 UTC. The source is probably old Region 1719  located on the Sun’s eastern limb. A Type II radio emission was associated with the event which typically indicates Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) . If CME was generated it should not be Earth directed.
NOAA SWPC forecasters estimate 30% chance for M-class solar flare, and 5% for an X-class today.
Xray_1m Double M-class flare May 3, 2013
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 186
Issue Time: 2013 May 03 1732 UTC
ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2013 May 03 1729 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 – Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity.

http://www.solarham.net/

The Sun Today : Updated May 3, 2013 

[Active Regions]

Magnetogram


Solar Flare Risk
M-Class: 55%
X-Class: 10%

Active Watches
Geomag. Storm     NO
Radiation Storm     NO
 



Strong M5.7 Solar Flare Detected
A strong solar flare reaching M5.7 was just detected around old Sunspot 1719 near the northeast limb at 17:32 UTC [VIDEO]. Because this region is not squarely Earth facing, any associated CME may be directed mostly away from Earth. I will provide more updates should there be a plasma cloud associated, and if so, if there is an earthbound component. This is the second M-Class flare within the hour with the first being centered around Sunspot 1731.
CME Update: The M5 event around old Sunspot 1719 did generate a Coronal Mass Ejection. As expected, the plasma cloud appears to be directed mostly towards the east and away from Earth. Click HERE for an image by Lasco C2.
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 03 1745 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1297 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.








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