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Tuesday, 14 May 2013

Solar XXX Rated Dancing

Well Our lovely Sol is definitely in the highest of party modes right now.  3 XClass flares in just over 48 hours- two of those, including the X 3.2 Flare just hours ago, blasted out in less than 24 hours.  If you watch the SuspiciousObservers video below, he also explains that in the past 24 hours there were two solar filaments that ripped away, and also another Gamma Burst incoming from across the galaxy.  As sun spot 1748 rotates into earth facing position, any new Flares could trigger direct earth facing CMEs.

.... NOAA has finally upgraded their risk assessment, lol- with an 80% chance of MClass and 40% chance of XClass flares in the next 48 hours.

So my friends, if you're WIFI is wonky, if your cell phone calls are getting dropped, or you can't get your wireless printer to work...... Don't throw them out a window quite yet- they'll behave again once all the solar partying is over.

And if you're out driving, please be a bit more aware of what's going on around you.  It's a known fact that solar activity like this CAN effect us Humans- mentally and emotionally.  Hence the up tick in road rage incidents during CMEs and geomagnetic storms.

I'm keeping an eye on the Sun while packing today- I'll let you know if she puts her dancing shoes on again.



http://www.solarham.net/

The Sun Today : Updated May 14, 2013 

[Active Regions]

Magnetogram

Solar Flare Risk
M-Class: 80%
X-Class: 40%
Active Watches
Geomag. Storm     NO
Radiation Storm     NO




Updated 05/14/2013 @ 01:15 UTC
Third Major X-Flare (X3.2)
New Sunspot 1748 is proving to be a big time flare producer. A major solar flare reaching X3.2 just peaked at 01:10 UTC. This is the third such explosion within the past 24 hours. The first measured X1.7 and the second X2.8. Two of the three solar flares is good enough to make it into the Top 10 List of strongest flares during Cycle 24. The active region is still not in the best position for Earth directed explosions, however that will change with each passing hour. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest updates.
SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2013 May 14 0104 UTC
Maximum Time: 2013 May 14 0115 UTC
End Time: 2013 May 14 0120 UTC
Duration: 16 minutes
Peak Flux: 560 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 14 0113 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 14 0107 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1514 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.


http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2013/05/14/third-major-x-class-solar-flare-in-24-hours-x3-2-on-may-14-2013/


The source of all three X-class events is emerging active region designated as AR 1748. X1.7-class eruption was registered on May 13, 2013 at 02:17 UTC, followed by an X2.8-class flare at 16:09 UTC and an X3.2-class flare (0117 UT on May 14). This extraordinary active region is making its way fully onto the visible disk and we can expect more increased solar activity in the days ahead.

Solar rotation is bringing the active region 1748 into view, NOAA/SWPC forecasters estimate a 40% chance of more X-flares during the next 24 hours and high 80% chance of M-class events.
This extraordinary active region is making its way fully onto the visible disk and we can expect more strong solar activity in the days ahead.





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